For the 56,576 species in the Class Aves (Birds), we average 371.87 observations each in our database; for the Gyrfalcon, we have 1,599 observations. Compared to other species in this Class, this species is somewhat common.
A two-sample t-test can be used to determine whether the trend in observations of the Gyrfalcon is the same as the trend in observations of Aves. Is this species just as common, as a proportion of all observations, as it once was? The answer is no, changes in observation rate of this species significantly differ from changes in observation rate of its Class. (t=3.963, p<0.001)
How do observation rates of the Gyrfalcon differ from those of Aves? To answer this, we examined the percentage of observerations for Aves that were observations of the Gyrfalcon each year. We then correlated this percentage with observation year. If observations of the Gyrfalcon are becoming more common relative to other species of Aves, the correlation should be positive, but if it is becoming less common, the correlation should be negative. In fact, the correlation is negative (r=-.1), with a negative slope (m = -.000), suggesting that the Gyrfalcon may be in decline relative to other species of Aves. This correlation is statistically significant. (F = 104.07, p<.05)
The scatter chart to the right shows the percentage of all observations for Aves each year that were observations of the Gyrfalcon.
History:
1988-Near-threatened (Collar and Andrew 1988)
1994-Lower Risk/least concern (BirdLife International 2004)
2000-Lower Risk/least concern (BirdLife International 2000)
Justification
This species has a large range, with an estimated global extent of occurrence of 10,000,000 km². It has a large global population estimated to be 10,000¿100,000 individuals (Ferguson-Lees et al. 2001). Global population trends have not been quantified, but populations appear to be stable (Ferguson-Lees et al. 2001) so the species is not believed to approach the thresholds for the population decline criterion of the IUCN Red List (i.e., declining more than 30% in ten years or three generations). For these reasons, the species is evaluated as Least Concern.
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